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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Notre Dame win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Notre Dame

24h volume
85.1k
3.60M lifetime
Open interest
2.77M
+65.2k over 24h
Spread
1¢
98.9k × 60.6k at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
14%+2

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 87¢
24h low 12¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volNov 4, 2:27 AMNov 5, 2:18 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31121¢
  • ask1,05620¢
  • ask15.5k19¢
  • ask1,00418¢
  • ask1,12217¢
  • ask9,18516¢
  • ask58.7k15¢
  • ask60.6k14¢
spread1¢mid 14¢
  • bid98.9k13¢
  • bid37.5k12¢
  • bid7,53911¢
  • bid5,12110¢
  • bid5,2529¢
  • bid5,0008¢
  • bid5,2857¢
  • bid5,4336¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Notre Dame wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-ND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 136¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23m ago14¢202bought yes
24m ago13¢11bought no
58m ago14¢23bought yes
58m ago14¢6.17bought yes
58m ago14¢4.15bought yes
1h ago13¢25bought no
1h ago13¢1,178bought yes
1h ago13¢3bought yes
1h ago13¢21bought yes
1h ago13¢20bought yes
1h ago13¢50bought yes
1h ago13¢2.44bought yes
1h ago13¢0.4bought yes
1h ago13¢2.52bought yes
1h ago13¢14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.