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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Oregon win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Oregon

24h volume
7,388
4.23M lifetime
Open interest
2.93M
Spread
1¢
0 × 275.0k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,5018¢
  • ask1,2397¢
  • ask36¢
  • ask50.0k5¢
  • ask4844¢
  • ask55.7k3¢
  • ask90.8k2¢
  • ask275.0k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Oregon wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXNCAAF-27-ORE
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 135¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2h ago1¢4,208bought yes
    5h ago1¢468bought yes
    7h ago1¢1,870bought yes
    10h ago1¢281bought yes
    12h ago1¢94bought yes
    18h ago1¢468bought yes
    1d ago1¢2,506bought yes
    1d ago1¢94bought yes
    1d ago1¢103bought yes
    1d ago1¢935bought yes
    2d ago1¢94bought yes
    2d ago1¢935bought yes
    2d ago1¢1,000bought yes
    2d ago1¢1,870bought yes
    3d ago1¢9,352bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.