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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will UCLA win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means UCLA

24h volume
47.2k
1.79M lifetime
Open interest
1.71M
Spread
2¢
154.0k × 514.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 99¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5310¢
  • ask29¢
  • ask2,8098¢
  • ask4547¢
  • ask1,2926¢
  • ask225¢
  • ask2,8044¢
  • ask514.3k3¢
spread2¢mid 2¢
  • bid154.0k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UCLA wins the 2026 College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-UCLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 135¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
41m ago3¢6,243bought yes
1h ago3¢95bought yes
1h ago3¢38bought yes
1h ago3¢38bought yes
2h ago3¢15bought yes
2h ago2¢24bought yes
2h ago3¢156bought yes
3h ago2¢91bought yes
3h ago2¢3bought yes
3h ago3¢609bought yes
3h ago3¢16.2kbought yes
4h ago3¢312bought yes
4h ago3¢0.2bought yes
4h ago3¢191bought yes
4h ago2¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.