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NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Georgia win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Georgia

24h volume
61.1k
4.31M lifetime
Open interest
2.79M
+45.2k over 24h
Spread
1¢
102.9k × 37.0k at the touch
24h range
21¢ – 23¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
24h low 21¢24h high 23¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢volNov 4, 2:27 AMNov 5, 2:23 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5.2531¢
  • ask1,09130¢
  • ask25028¢
  • ask4.5127¢
  • ask1,11426¢
  • ask21.6k25¢
  • ask82.4k24¢
  • ask37.0k23¢
spread1¢mid 22¢
  • bid102.9k22¢
  • bid5,92421¢
  • bid35.7k20¢
  • bid5,88419¢
  • bid10.4k18¢
  • bid14.7k17¢
  • bid4,42816¢
  • bid8,99615¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Georgia wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-UGA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 136¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago22¢22bought no
21m ago23¢5.03bought yes
24m ago22¢3bought yes
24m ago22¢94bought yes
24m ago22¢50bought yes
24m ago22¢11bought yes
24m ago22¢28bought yes
29m ago21¢22bought no
32m ago21¢91bought no
33m ago22¢79bought yes
36m ago21¢44bought no
36m ago22¢3.47bought yes
50m ago21¢32bought no
56m ago22¢22bought yes
57m ago22¢32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.