NCAAF Championship·closes in 4mo

Will Utah win the College Football Playoff National Championship?

YES means Utah

24h volume
42.6k
2.18M lifetime
Open interest
2.03M
Spread
1¢
13.3k × 219.4k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 3¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 98¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50010¢
  • ask599¢
  • ask28¢
  • ask7807¢
  • ask2,7066¢
  • ask4915¢
  • ask361.0k4¢
  • ask219.4k3¢
spread1¢mid 3¢
  • bid13.3k2¢
  • bid583.6k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Utah wins the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

opened
Jan 21 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 23, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 26, 2027 · 4:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXNCAAF-27-UTAH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 136¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16m ago3¢1,037bought yes
16m ago3¢1bought yes
16m ago3¢1bought yes
16m ago3¢521bought yes
36m ago3¢156bought yes
39m ago3¢1,561bought yes
57m ago3¢624bought yes
2h ago3¢312bought yes
3h ago3¢62bought yes
3h ago3¢39bought yes
3h ago3¢200bought yes
3h ago3¢147bought yes
4h ago2¢94bought no
4h ago3¢400bought yes
4h ago3¢156bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.