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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
70.7k
73.0k lifetime
Open interest
38.5k
Spread
1¢
0 × 77.4k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4038¢
  • ask5035¢
  • ask4530¢
  • ask5025¢
  • ask339¢
  • ask503¢
  • ask2052¢
  • ask77.4k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ball St. wins by more than 4.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
    floor
    4.5
    ticker
    KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL5
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2m ago1¢1bought no
    2m ago1¢20bought no
    2m ago1¢2bought no
    2m ago2¢300bought no
    2m ago2¢300bought no
    2m ago2¢10bought no
    2m ago3¢0.47bought no
    2m ago3¢237bought no
    2m ago3¢33bought no
    2m ago3¢300bought no
    2m ago4¢100bought no
    2m ago3¢15bought no
    2m ago4¢41bought no
    2m ago4¢9bought no
    2m ago4¢41bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.