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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Ball St. wins by over 4.5 points

24h volume
70.7k
70.9k lifetime
Open interest
36.6k
+0 over 90d
Spread
26¢
0.95 × 64 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 59¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 78¢
24h low 2¢24h high 59¢
Recent buying78% YES · 22% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11135¢
  • ask49134¢
  • ask13533¢
  • ask4332¢
  • ask4431¢
  • ask4330¢
  • ask30029¢
  • ask23428¢
spread6¢mid 25¢
  • bid0.9522¢
  • bid2620¢
  • bid11019¢
  • bid30018¢
  • bid2017¢
  • bid2315¢
  • bid32013¢
  • bid10712¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ball St. wins by more than 4.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-BALL5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 78% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28s ago44¢22bought yes
28s ago43¢10bought yes
28s ago44¢24bought yes
46s ago30¢1bought no
1m ago52¢9.3bought yes
2m ago36¢2bought no
2m ago36¢5bought no
3m ago52¢2bought yes
3m ago49¢12bought yes
3m ago49¢4bought yes
3m ago34¢10bought no
4m ago50¢8.56bought yes
4m ago47¢0.99bought yes
4m ago49¢10bought yes
4m ago47¢21bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.