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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
1.22M
1.24M lifetime
Open interest
965.5k
+968.6k over 30d
Spread
12¢
448 × 235 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%+13

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 44¢
24h low 23¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying46% YES · 54% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢volNov 2, 1:00 PMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask27074¢
  • ask4773¢
  • ask3872¢
  • ask24271¢
  • ask20070¢
  • ask20069¢
  • ask33268¢
  • ask30067¢
spread12¢mid 61¢
  • bid35655¢
  • bid20054¢
  • bid24553¢
  • bid24552¢
  • bid25251¢
  • bid25050¢
  • bid349¢
  • bid2048¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 2.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 46% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4s ago55¢23bought no
4s ago56¢200bought no
4s ago56¢20bought no
4s ago56¢173bought no
4s ago56¢50bought no
4s ago56¢5bought no
7s ago69¢15bought yes
7s ago69¢100bought yes
7s ago69¢89bought yes
17s ago51¢118bought no
17s ago51¢60bought no
24s ago58¢193bought no
24s ago59¢1.09bought no
24s ago59¢19bought no
58s ago75¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.