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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
1.22M
1.24M lifetime
Open interest
966.0k
Spread
10¢
479 × 300 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 67¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 43¢

YES bid / ask
57¢ / 67¢
NO bid / ask
33¢ / 43¢
24h low 23¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5088¢
  • ask1,00082¢
  • ask2280¢
  • ask25078¢
  • ask2174¢
  • ask20073¢
  • ask22572¢
  • ask568¢
spread11¢mid 63¢
  • bid10057¢
  • bid24556¢
  • bid1054¢
  • bid8753¢
  • bid6252¢
  • bid5151¢
  • bid25050¢
  • bid249¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 2.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7s ago67¢10bought yes
18s ago56¢7.37bought no
18s ago56¢1.93bought no
19s ago56¢23bought no
26s ago56¢9.47bought no
31s ago56¢7.5bought no
35s ago56¢52bought no
41s ago55¢23bought no
41s ago56¢200bought no
41s ago56¢20bought no
41s ago56¢173bought no
41s ago56¢50bought no
41s ago56¢5bought no
44s ago69¢15bought yes
44s ago69¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.