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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

UMass wins by over 2.5 points

24h volume
1.25M
1.26M lifetime
Open interest
978.3k
+972.0k over 24h
Spread
14¢
13 × 25 at the touch
24h range
18¢ – 97¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%−23

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 82¢
24h low 18¢24h high 97¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volNov 4, 3:23 AMNov 5, 3:22 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5038¢
  • ask71537¢
  • ask25236¢
  • ask1035¢
  • ask2534¢
  • ask2433¢
  • ask18032¢
  • ask11731¢
spread13¢mid 25¢
  • bid1018¢
  • bid1517¢
  • bid1316¢
  • bid2715¢
  • bid3314¢
  • bid15813¢
  • bid14412¢
  • bid22011¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If UMass wins by more than 2.5 points in the Ball St. vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Oct 29 · 7:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
2.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04BALLMASS-MASS3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12s ago33¢7bought yes
22s ago20¢10bought no
22s ago19¢15bought no
22s ago21¢20bought no
22s ago19¢0.76bought no
22s ago21¢2bought no
22s ago20¢10bought no
22s ago22¢2bought no
22s ago19¢2bought no
31s ago30¢12bought no
31s ago27¢23bought no
31s ago29¢15bought no
31s ago26¢50bought no
31s ago26¢95bought no
31s ago28¢3.52bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.