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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Toledo wins by over 9.5 points

24h volume
115.4k
120.8k lifetime
Open interest
63.6k
+52.0k over 7d
Spread
1¢
12.0k × 8.99 at the touch
24h range
33¢ – 90¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%

A YES contract costs 75¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 26¢

YES bid / ask
74¢ / 75¢
NO bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
24h low 33¢24h high 90¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volNov 4, 6:00 AMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25.3k82¢
  • ask33.0k81¢
  • ask3,49680¢
  • ask6279¢
  • ask3,04878¢
  • ask26.5k77¢
  • ask10.3k76¢
  • ask8.9975¢
spread1¢mid 75¢
  • bid12.0k74¢
  • bid1,20373¢
  • bid32.9k72¢
  • bid17.3k71¢
  • bid1,39170¢
  • bid1,59969¢
  • bid6,21068¢
  • bid24.0k66¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 9.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
9.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL10
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15s ago74¢594bought no
15s ago74¢202bought no
15s ago74¢2,000bought no
15s ago74¢82bought no
41s ago74¢18bought no
59s ago76¢259bought yes
59s ago76¢141bought yes
59s ago76¢48bought yes
59s ago75¢201bought yes
1m ago74¢234bought no
2m ago74¢16bought no
2m ago72¢25bought yes
2m ago73¢56bought yes
2m ago74¢1.44bought yes
2m ago64¢87bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.