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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Toledo wins by over 7.5 points

24h volume
119.6k
135.0k lifetime
Open interest
80.7k
Spread
11¢
21 × 29 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
77%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
23%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 35¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 7.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
7.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL8
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
44s ago77¢100bought yes
44s ago73¢25bought yes
44s ago74¢99bought yes
44s ago75¢61bought yes
44s ago75¢109bought yes
2m ago71¢3bought yes
2m ago70¢1,952bought yes
2m ago71¢865bought yes
2m ago73¢20bought yes
2m ago70¢1,950bought yes
2m ago70¢500bought yes
2m ago70¢270bought yes
2m ago70¢500bought yes
2m ago73¢675bought yes
2m ago72¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.