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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Toledo wins by over 17.5 points

24h volume
53.4k
54.0k lifetime
Open interest
35.2k
+34.8k over 7d
Spread
1¢
0.99 × 5,110 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 75¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 75¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volNov 4, 4:00 PMNov 5, 2:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask38.6k16¢
  • ask2,46015¢
  • ask5,08714¢
  • ask11.6k13¢
  • ask1,58012¢
  • ask2,93911¢
  • ask15010¢
  • ask5,1109¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid0.998¢
  • bid6,3317¢
  • bid2,7006¢
  • bid515¢
  • bid24.9k4¢
  • bid11.8k3¢
  • bid20.2k2¢
  • bid89.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 17.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
17.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL18
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1m ago8¢0.01bought no
2m ago12¢100bought no
2m ago15¢100bought no
2m ago16¢26bought no
2m ago16¢100bought no
2m ago15¢124bought no
2m ago19¢1bought yes
2m ago25¢47bought yes
2m ago25¢25bought yes
2m ago26¢75bought yes
8m ago18¢49bought no
8m ago18¢100bought no
9m ago19¢1bought yes
9m ago19¢1bought yes
13m ago18¢15bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.