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College Football Spread·closes in 2d

Toledo wins by over 14.5 points

24h volume
64.9k
66.5k lifetime
Open interest
39.7k
Spread
1¢
8,744 × 1,244 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 83¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
33%

A YES contract costs 32¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
67%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 32¢
NO bid / ask
68¢ / 69¢
24h low 13¢24h high 83¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask29.1k39¢
  • ask16.6k38¢
  • ask42237¢
  • ask1,64836¢
  • ask2,37935¢
  • ask21.6k34¢
  • ask5,57533¢
  • ask1,24432¢
spread1¢mid 31¢
  • bid8,74431¢
  • bid32.3k30¢
  • bid4,73229¢
  • bid1,50028¢
  • bid43127¢
  • bid5826¢
  • bid17.5k25¢
  • bid29.0k23¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toledo wins by more than 14.5 points in the Toledo vs Sacramento St. college football game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 1 · 1:06 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 12:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 3:00 AM UTC
floor
14.5
ticker
KXNCAAFSPREAD-26NOV04TOLSAC-TOL15
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
41s ago32¢99bought yes
41s ago32¢200bought yes
41s ago33¢98bought yes
41s ago33¢60bought yes
48s ago32¢1bought yes
48s ago32¢20bought yes
57s ago30¢974bought yes
60s ago31¢26bought yes
1m ago29¢0.01bought no
2m ago23¢26bought no
2m ago27¢60bought yes
7m ago33¢23bought yes
7m ago33¢55bought yes
7m ago34¢2.78bought yes
7m ago24¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.