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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 24.5 points

24h volume
5,385
5,487 lifetime
Open interest
3,674
Spread
5¢
2 × 2,215 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
70%

A YES contract costs 70¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
30%

costs 35¢

YES bid / ask
65¢ / 70¢
NO bid / ask
30¢ / 35¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask22.0k82¢
  • ask1781¢
  • ask6080¢
  • ask779¢
  • ask1,00078¢
  • ask12177¢
  • ask14076¢
  • ask175¢
spread10¢mid 70¢
  • bid265¢
  • bid5262¢
  • bid8861¢
  • bid5258¢
  • bid4957¢
  • bid1,52056¢
  • bid1655¢
  • bid25052¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 24.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
24.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC25
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10s ago70¢28bought yes
46s ago69¢1bought yes
2m ago72¢1bought yes
2m ago64¢1.27bought no
2m ago72¢14bought yes
2m ago72¢42bought yes
2m ago72¢8.34bought yes
2m ago72¢5bought yes
2m ago71¢2bought yes
8m ago71¢1bought yes
8m ago70¢1bought yes
8m ago69¢1bought yes
10m ago64¢1bought yes
10m ago64¢1bought yes
11m ago61¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.