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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 24.5 points

24h volume
2,346
2,346 lifetime
Open interest
2,003
+235 over 7d
Spread
6¢
107 × 398 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 16¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 66¢

YES bid / ask
34¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 66¢
24h low 15¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volNov 4, 9:00 AMNov 5, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask149¢
  • ask80047¢
  • ask5,94046¢
  • ask48045¢
  • ask12444¢
  • ask40043¢
  • ask1,55041¢
  • ask39840¢
spread6¢mid 37¢
  • bid10734¢
  • bid1,95433¢
  • bid10032¢
  • bid10.7k30¢
  • bid80029¢
  • bid6727¢
  • bid8324¢
  • bid521¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 24.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
24.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC25
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4m ago41¢12bought yes
4m ago40¢1bought yes
7m ago42¢69bought yes
7m ago42¢45bought yes
8m ago50¢6bought yes
8m ago46¢180bought no
11m ago41¢12bought no
11m ago41¢3.37bought no
13m ago31¢576bought yes
13m ago31¢2.13bought yes
13m ago31¢3.33bought yes
14m ago39¢1,000bought yes
14m ago36¢15bought yes
14m ago40¢90bought yes
17m ago31¢22bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.