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Men's College Basketball Spread·closes in 2d

Saint Mary's wins by over 24.5 points

24h volume
2,529
5,385 lifetime
Open interest
3,616
+0 over 90d
Spread
4¢
1 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
15¢ – 71¢
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
71%

A YES contract costs 71¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
29%

costs 33¢

YES bid / ask
67¢ / 71¢
NO bid / ask
29¢ / 33¢
24h low 15¢24h high 71¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5779¢
  • ask45978¢
  • ask47077¢
  • ask176¢
  • ask175¢
  • ask6573¢
  • ask17172¢
  • ask1,00071¢
spread4¢mid 69¢
  • bid167¢
  • bid266¢
  • bid4563¢
  • bid2562¢
  • bid4661¢
  • bid1,10060¢
  • bid72857¢
  • bid7156¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Saint Mary's wins by more than 24.5 points in the North Dakota St. vs Saint Mary's men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 3 · 11:06 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 6:00 AM UTC
floor
24.5
ticker
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV04NDSUSMC-SMC25
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 49 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago71¢1bought yes
3m ago70¢1bought yes
3m ago69¢1bought yes
4m ago64¢1bought yes
4m ago64¢1bought yes
6m ago61¢12bought yes
6m ago60¢30bought yes
6m ago54¢3bought yes
6m ago54¢4.97bought yes
6m ago54¢1bought yes
6m ago41¢1,000bought no
6m ago46¢1bought no
6m ago42¢112bought no
6m ago41¢196bought no
6m ago43¢68bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.