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Who will be the world's second trillionaire?·closes in 76mo

Will Jensen Huang be the world's second trillionaire?

YES means Jensen Huang

24h volume
0
3,722 lifetime
Open interest
1,361
−192 over 30d
Spread
8¢
101 × 117 at the touch
24h range
–
48 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 82¢
Recent buying56% YES · 44% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,23069¢
  • ask4.5167¢
  • ask39450¢
  • ask5049¢
  • ask3048¢
  • ask25047¢
  • ask2346¢
  • ask11726¢
spread8¢mid 22¢
  • bid10118¢
  • bid1015¢
  • bid158¢
  • bid5.954¢
  • bid443¢
  • bid5452¢
  • bid3,0431¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Forbes reports that Jensen Huang has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2033 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JH
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 77¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 48 trades, 56% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago17¢1bought no
4d ago15¢4.16bought no
6d ago15¢118bought no
7d ago17¢5.55bought yes
15d ago16¢59bought no
18d ago21¢3.65bought yes
18d ago21¢0.51bought yes
19d ago20¢3.65bought no
20d ago16¢16bought no
1mo ago15¢9.53bought no
1mo ago16¢100bought yes
1mo ago16¢39bought yes
1mo ago26¢3.65bought yes
1mo ago15¢15bought no
2mo ago15¢41bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.