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Oscar for Best Picture·closes in 16mo

Will Artificial win Best Picture at the Oscars?

YES means Artificial

24h volume
38.5k
103.7k lifetime
Open interest
103.6k
+38.5k over 7d
Spread
1¢
0 × 63.4k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1016¢
  • ask10.0k10¢
  • ask607¢
  • ask10.0k5¢
  • ask9394¢
  • ask4003¢
  • ask10.2k2¢
  • ask63.4k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Artificial has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Mar 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOSCARPIC-27-ART
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 136¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    5h ago1¢546bought yes
    5h ago1¢389bought yes
    22h ago1¢547bought yes
    22h ago1¢300bought yes
    22h ago1¢50bought yes
    22h ago1¢300bought yes
    22h ago1¢200bought yes
    22h ago1¢1,500bought yes
    22h ago1¢400bought yes
    22h ago1¢200bought yes
    22h ago1¢1,500bought yes
    22h ago1¢10.0kbought yes
    22h ago1¢300bought yes
    22h ago1¢3,000bought yes
    22h ago1¢500bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.