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Oscar for Best Picture·closes in 16mo

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the Oscars?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
3,920
476.7k lifetime
Open interest
325.5k
+49.6k over 7d
Spread
1¢
3,894 × 21.7k at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 13¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%−1

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
24h low 10¢24h high 13¢
Recent buying43% YES · 57% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16518¢
  • ask1,72517¢
  • ask5,20216¢
  • ask35015¢
  • ask3,19314¢
  • ask3,03613¢
  • ask7,81312¢
  • ask21.7k11¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid3,89410¢
  • bid6,4509¢
  • bid5,1158¢
  • bid16.9k7¢
  • bid1,0976¢
  • bid1,0205¢
  • bid1,3614¢
  • bid2,4173¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARPIC-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 134¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 43% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23m ago10¢27bought no
3h ago10¢0.74bought no
4h ago11¢43bought yes
5h ago10¢13bought no
6h ago11¢171bought yes
6h ago10¢39bought no
6h ago10¢1.1bought no
7h ago10¢101bought no
7h ago10¢392bought no
7h ago10¢181bought no
8h ago11¢77bought yes
8h ago10¢181bought no
9h ago10¢67bought no
10h ago11¢205bought yes
11h ago10¢970bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.