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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Hilary Clinton be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Hillary Clinton

24h volume
1,000
2.94M lifetime
Open interest
2.67M
+67.8k over 7d
Spread
0¢
692.0k × 568.8k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying37% YES · 63% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask311.7k1¢
  • ask150.0k1¢
  • ask17.0k1¢
  • ask251¢
  • ask19.8k1¢
  • ask25.0k0¢
  • ask98.0k0¢
  • ask568.8k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid692.0k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hillary Clinton wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 20, 2025 · 8:30 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-HCLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 37% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago0¢1,000bought no
2d ago0¢1bought no
2d ago0¢5,000bought yes
5d ago0¢4,580bought yes
6d ago0¢11.5kbought yes
6d ago0¢46.7kbought yes
6d ago0¢20.6kbought yes
8d ago0¢50bought yes
8d ago0¢47.0kbought yes
8d ago0¢2,337bought yes
8d ago0¢23.3kbought yes
8d ago0¢46.7kbought yes
8d ago0¢916bought yes
10d ago0¢1,302bought yes
10d ago0¢535bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.