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Democratic Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

YES means Zohran Mamdani

24h volume
53.4k
8.93M lifetime
Open interest
3.98M
Spread
0¢
951.9k × 1.55M at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50.0k1¢
  • ask15.6k1¢
  • ask39.1k1¢
  • ask1,1121¢
  • ask3,9621¢
  • ask63.1k0¢
  • ask785.1k0¢
  • ask1.55M0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid951.9k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 27, 2025 · 3:28 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMD-28-ZMAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1s ago0¢1bought yes
3s ago0¢1bought no
5s ago0¢1bought yes
7s ago0¢1bought no
9s ago0¢1bought yes
11s ago0¢1bought no
13s ago0¢1bought yes
15s ago0¢1bought no
17s ago0¢1bought yes
19s ago0¢1bought no
21s ago0¢1bought yes
23s ago0¢1bought no
25s ago0¢1bought yes
27s ago0¢1bought no
29s ago0¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.