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Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Eric Trump be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Eric Trump

24h volume
5,186
1.38M lifetime
Open interest
906.0k
Spread
0¢
209.9k × 16.3k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%−0

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask105.0k1¢
  • ask41.8k1¢
  • ask10.4k1¢
  • ask105.0k1¢
  • ask5,7891¢
  • ask64.3k1¢
  • ask7,4480¢
  • ask16.3k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid209.9k0¢
  • bid792.3k0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Eric Trump wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 23 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMR-28-ETRU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago0¢5,186bought no
1d ago0¢1,419bought no
1d ago0¢1,000bought no
1d ago0¢1,393bought no
3d ago0¢1,044bought no
3d ago0¢20bought no
6d ago0¢1,000bought no
7d ago0¢115bought yes
12d ago0¢41bought yes
13d ago0¢154bought no
18d ago1¢1,000bought yes
18d ago0¢620bought no
19d ago1¢186bought yes
20d ago1¢1,834bought yes
20d ago1¢40bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.