galdor.xyz
Admin
Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Mike Pence be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Mike Pence

24h volume
1.83
1.29M lifetime
Open interest
1.10M
Spread
0¢
1,319 × 56.0k at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%+0

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask331¢
  • ask1,0001¢
  • ask9,7261¢
  • ask2,0171¢
  • ask58.1k1¢
  • ask1,0001¢
  • ask2291¢
  • ask56.0k1¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid1,3190¢
  • bid3,0470¢
  • bid50.3k0¢
  • bid3.06M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mike Pence wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 5, 2025 · 3:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMR-28-MPEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago1¢1.83bought yes
2d ago0¢18bought no
6d ago0¢187bought no
8d ago0¢0.77bought no
8d ago0¢2.23bought no
11d ago1¢46bought yes
14d ago1¢1.84bought no
16d ago1¢0.21bought no
16d ago1¢0.02bought no
16d ago1¢2.59bought no
16d ago1¢229bought no
19d ago1¢133bought yes
26d ago1¢60bought yes
26d ago1¢1bought yes
26d ago1¢2,000bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.