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Republican Primary winner·closes in 26mo

Will Tulsi Gabbard be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?

YES means Tulsi Gabbard

24h volume
699
1.52M lifetime
Open interest
1.20M
+2,185 over 30d
Spread
0¢
35.3k × 15.8k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying67% YES · 33% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 23Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask426.2k1¢
  • ask92.3k1¢
  • ask40.0k1¢
  • ask48.3k1¢
  • ask36.0k1¢
  • ask30.0k1¢
  • ask1,2000¢
  • ask15.8k0¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid35.3k0¢
  • bid3.03M0¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tulsi Gabbard wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 30, 2024 · 3:15 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESNOMR-28-TG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 97¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 67% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
11h ago0¢100bought yes
13h ago0¢528bought no
14h ago0¢51bought no
14h ago0¢10bought no
18h ago0¢10bought no
2d ago0¢529bought yes
2d ago0¢10bought yes
2d ago0¢10bought yes
2d ago0¢52bought yes
3d ago0¢25bought yes
3d ago0¢5bought yes
3d ago0¢232bought no
3d ago0¢232bought yes
3d ago0¢4bought no
4d ago0¢154bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.