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Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
12.4k
4.24M lifetime
Open interest
2.65M
Spread
1¢
23.3k × 52.1k at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask76520¢
  • ask12419¢
  • ask10817¢
  • ask8,28316¢
  • ask62915¢
  • ask15714¢
  • ask48.7k13¢
  • ask52.1k12¢
spread1¢mid 12¢
  • bid23.3k11¢
  • bid3,63010¢
  • bid2910¢
  • bid2910¢
  • bid5010¢
  • bid4210¢
  • bid2.939¢
  • bid759¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 27, 2025 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20m ago12¢196bought yes
27m ago12¢7.07bought yes
50m ago12¢61bought yes
1h ago12¢785bought yes
2h ago12¢1bought yes
2h ago12¢227bought yes
2h ago12¢196bought yes
2h ago12¢50bought yes
3h ago11¢78bought no
3h ago12¢2,355bought yes
4h ago11¢39bought no
6h ago12¢78bought yes
6h ago12¢39bought yes
6h ago12¢785bought yes
6h ago11¢78bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.