Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Jon Ossoff

24h volume
12.4k
4.24M lifetime
Open interest
2.65M
Spread
23.3k × 52.1k at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 12¢
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 89¢
24h low 11¢24h high 12¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask76520¢
  • ask12419¢
  • ask10817¢
  • ask8,28316¢
  • ask62915¢
  • ask15714¢
  • ask48.7k13¢
  • ask52.1k12¢
spreadmid 12¢
  • bid23.3k11¢
  • bid3,63010¢
  • bid2910¢
  • bid2910¢
  • bid5010¢
  • bid4210¢
  • bid2.93
  • bid75
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jon Ossoff is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 27, 2025 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 94¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.