galdor.xyz
Admin
Pres person·closes in 38mo

Who will win the next presidential election?

YES means Tim Walz

24h volume
9.34
566.3k lifetime
Open interest
461.9k
+0 over 24h
Spread
0¢
0 × 123.1k at the touch
24h range
0¢ – 0¢
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 0¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 0¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
24h low 0¢24h high 0¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tim Walz is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 14, 2025 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPRESPERSON-28-TWAL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
21h ago0¢9.34bought yes
3d ago0¢4,000bought yes
3d ago0¢9,340bought yes
4d ago0¢863bought yes
4d ago0¢968bought yes
4d ago0¢1,832bought yes
24d ago0¢92bought yes
27d ago0¢916bought yes
29d ago0¢4,673bought yes
29d ago0¢500bought yes
29d ago0¢6,376bought yes
29d ago0¢1,624bought yes
29d ago0¢500bought yes
29d ago0¢935bought yes
30d ago0¢1,832bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.