Will Clarence Thomas resign during Trump's term?
YES means Clarence Thomas
- 24h volume
- 0.93
- 36.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 14.0k
- −34 over 7d
- Spread
- 4¢
- 10 × 90 at the touch
- 24h range
- 47¢ – 49¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 52¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Clarence Thomas resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
- opened
- Dec 21, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-CT
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 27% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 47¢ | 0.93 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 49¢ | 1.97 | bought yes |
| 3d ago | 47¢ | 39 | bought no |
| 3d ago | 48¢ | 5.68 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 49¢ | 9.83 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 49¢ | 26 | bought yes |
| 9d ago | 49¢ | 0.19 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 48¢ | 49 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 48¢ | 19 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 48¢ | 3.25 | bought no |
| 17d ago | 48¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 18d ago | 49¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 24d ago | 48¢ | 3.72 | bought no |
| 24d ago | 51¢ | 5.68 | bought yes |
| 25d ago | 48¢ | 9.3 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.