World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Israel win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Israel

24h volume
0
531 lifetime
Open interest
523
Spread
999 × 2,155 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,61317¢
  • ask1,857
  • ask2,001
  • ask0.46
  • ask10.0k
  • ask342
  • ask10.0k
  • ask2,155
spreadmid
  • bid999
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Israel is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-ISR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago0.93bought no
1mo ago0.46bought no
2mo ago6bought yes
2mo ago309bought yes
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago1bought yes
2mo ago181bought yes
2mo ago23bought yes
2mo ago0.46bought yes
2mo ago0.93bought yes
2mo ago3.12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.