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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Paraguay win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Paraguay

24h volume
0
5,915 lifetime
Open interest
4,569
Spread
0¢
1,000 × 1,740 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
100¢ / 100¢
Recent buying94% YES · 6% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask40.8k24¢
  • ask2,07323¢
  • ask23.3k19¢
  • ask2,85916¢
  • ask16516¢
  • ask2741¢
  • ask8,5551¢
  • ask1,7401¢
spread0¢mid 0¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Paraguay is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-PAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 94% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago1¢10bought yes
1mo ago0¢108bought no
1mo ago0¢77bought no
1mo ago0¢132bought no
2mo ago0¢47bought no
2mo ago1¢6bought yes
2mo ago1¢185bought yes
2mo ago1¢706bought yes
2mo ago1¢697bought yes
2mo ago1¢250bought yes
2mo ago1¢53bought yes
2mo ago1¢200bought yes
2mo ago1¢1,431bought yes
2mo ago1¢100bought yes
2mo ago1¢14bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.