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World Cup·closes in 53mo

Will Qatar win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

YES means Qatar

24h volume
0
24.7k lifetime
Open interest
23.6k
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
1,500 × 1,498 at the touch
24h range
–
27 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask23.3k19¢
  • ask2,85916¢
  • ask14216¢
  • ask7002¢
  • ask1,2001¢
  • ask3,1001¢
  • ask2351¢
  • ask1,4981¢
spread1¢mid 1¢
  • bid1,5000¢
  • bid2,1000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Qatar is the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 19 · 10:15 PM UTC
closes
Jan 15, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXWC-30-QAT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 27 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23d ago1¢10bought yes
1mo ago1¢900bought no
1mo ago1¢100bought no
1mo ago1¢0.02bought no
2mo ago2¢2.3bought yes
2mo ago2¢1.68bought yes
2mo ago1¢6bought yes
2mo ago1¢147bought yes
2mo ago1¢603bought yes
2mo ago1¢250bought yes
2mo ago1¢6bought yes
2mo ago1¢1bought yes
2mo ago1¢5bought yes
2mo ago1¢9,994bought yes
2mo ago1¢1,100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.