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World Soccer Cup Host Country·closes in 89mo

Will USA be announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup?

YES means USA

24h volume
2.98
10.2k lifetime
Open interest
2,541
−241 over 30d
Spread
8¢
100 × 11 at the touch
24h range
47¢ – 47¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
47%−1

A YES contract costs 56¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
53%

costs 52¢

YES bid / ask
48¢ / 56¢
NO bid / ask
44¢ / 52¢
24h low 47¢24h high 47¢
Recent buying54% YES · 46% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢60¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,38487¢
  • ask66984¢
  • ask3683¢
  • ask9078¢
  • ask11875¢
  • ask15072¢
  • ask15063¢
  • ask1156¢
spread8¢mid 52¢
  • bid10048¢
  • bid9747¢
  • bid6236¢
  • bid42735¢
  • bid9033¢
  • bid1,29031¢
  • bid50020¢
  • bid1,64016¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If USA is announced as a host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Once an official host for the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup is announced by any of the Source Agencies, the markets for any host country/countries will resolve to Yes, and all other markets will resolve to No. If multiple host countries are announced to host the 2038 Men's FIFA World Cup, all markets pertaining to any of the named host countries will resolve to Yes. Example: If Australia and Cambodia are announced as hosts, the market titled "Australia or New Zealand" and "Cambodia" will resolve to Yes, while other markets will resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 5 · 8:02 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2034 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2034 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXWCHOST-2038-USA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 54% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago47¢2.98bought no
1d ago48¢60bought no
2d ago52¢1.07bought yes
7d ago49¢59bought yes
8d ago47¢15bought no
9d ago50¢3.49bought yes
9d ago47¢100bought yes
9d ago56¢89bought yes
9d ago47¢95bought no
9d ago48¢100bought no
9d ago48¢84bought no
9d ago48¢11bought no
10d ago48¢2.98bought no
11d ago47¢2.98bought no
11d ago51¢30bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.