XRP Min monthly·closes in 10d

Will XRP trimmed mean be below $1.20 by 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026?

YES means Below $1.20

24h volume
18
3,392 lifetime
Open interest
1,710
+1,710 over 30d
Spread
9.98 × 145 at the touch
24h range
16¢ – 16¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%9

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 89¢
24h low 16¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 3Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5.0279¢
  • ask148¢
  • ask147¢
  • ask523¢
  • ask10521¢
  • ask1,00519¢
  • ask3,11918¢
  • ask14517¢
spreadmid 14¢
  • bid9.9811¢
  • bid14410¢
  • bid5
  • bid5
  • bid3,005
  • bid500
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the price of XRP after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever below $1.20, then the market resolves to Yes.

At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF XRPUSD_RTI price for XRP. For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values. If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is below the threshold, the market resolves to Yes. This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops. The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time. If CF Benchmarks data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected strikes resolve to No. For cryptocurrencies with multiple versions, the Exchange will specify which version or ticker is being tracked.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 1 · 4:10 AM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC
cap
1.2
ticker
KXXRPMINMON-XRP-26SEP30-120
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago16¢18bought yes
1d ago25¢127bought yes
1d ago25¢58bought yes
2d ago19¢141bought yes
2d ago17¢2bought no
2d ago24¢1bought yes
3d ago23¢5bought no
3d ago25¢5bought no
3d ago26¢35bought no
3d ago23¢192bought no
3d ago39¢61bought yes
3d ago41¢59bought yes
3d ago41¢94bought yes
3d ago43¢22bought yes
3d ago40¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.