Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028?
YES means Before Jul 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 4,719 lifetime
- Open interest
- 4,135
- +2,691 over 90d
- Spread
- 7¢
- 150 × 3,421 at the touch
- 24h range
- 52¢ – 77¢
A YES contract costs 82¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 25¢
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Price history
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.
- opened
- Mar 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jul 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXAGICO-COMP-28Q2
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.