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When will artist release a new album?·closes in 10d

Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026

YES means Before Oct 1, 2026

24h volume
38
11.4k lifetime
Open interest
2,668
+820 over 7d
Spread
16¢
26 × 50 at the touch
24h range
7¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%−24

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 94¢
24h low 7¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask136¢
  • ask0.2534¢
  • ask31630¢
  • ask10229¢
  • ask8428¢
  • ask0.1827¢
  • ask3823¢
  • ask5022¢
spread16¢mid 14¢
  • bid266¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid5503¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26OCT01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago7¢5bought no
5h ago7¢33bought no
1d ago31¢1.78bought yes
2d ago9¢6.56bought no
2d ago8¢16bought no
2d ago9¢12bought no
2d ago10¢1.37bought no
2d ago10¢1bought no
2d ago12¢11bought yes
2d ago10¢11bought no
2d ago11¢0.44bought no
2d ago11¢11bought no
2d ago11¢1.33bought no
2d ago13¢14bought yes
2d ago11¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.