Will Drake release new album after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026
YES means Before Oct 1, 2026
- 24h volume
- 38
- 11.4k lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,668
- +2,668 over 90d
- Spread
- 17¢
- 26 × 50 at the touch
- 24h range
- 7¢ – 7¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 94¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask4753¢
- ask0.2544¢
- ask136¢
- ask0.2534¢
- ask31630¢
- ask14829¢
- ask8428¢
- ask5023¢
- bid266¢
- bid55¢
- bid5503¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Drake releases a new album after issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Aug 21 · 11:52 PM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXALBUMRELEASEDATE-NEWDRA-26OCT01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 7¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 7¢ | 33 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 31¢ | 1.78 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 9¢ | 6.56 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 8¢ | 16 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 9¢ | 12 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 10¢ | 1.37 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 10¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 12¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 10¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 11¢ | 0.44 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 11¢ | 11 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 11¢ | 1.33 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 13¢ | 14 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 11¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.