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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Harris Dickinson be the next James Bond?

YES means Harris Dickinson

24h volume
78
117.0k lifetime
Open interest
55.3k
−29 over 24h
Spread
3¢
142 × 2 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 16¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%−7

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 91¢
24h low 10¢24h high 16¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 5:03 AMSep 21, 3:04 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,07525¢
  • ask1,00023¢
  • ask7.318¢
  • ask2,00017¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask1,05514¢
  • ask6013¢
  • ask212¢
spread3¢mid 11¢
  • bid1429¢
  • bid67¢
  • bid945¢
  • bid1544¢
  • bid5503¢
  • bid1,2502¢
  • bid3,3111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Harris Dickinson is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 26, 2025 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-HAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10h ago10¢6.03bought no
10h ago10¢3bought no
10h ago10¢2bought no
16h ago15¢7bought no
16h ago15¢20bought no
16h ago14¢11bought no
19h ago16¢10bought no
19h ago15¢1.53bought no
19h ago16¢5.88bought no
19h ago15¢12bought no
1d ago17¢10bought yes
2d ago16¢2bought no
2d ago18¢22bought no
2d ago18¢14bought no
2d ago17¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.