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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Jack Barton be the next James Bond?

YES means Jack Barton

24h volume
249
37.7k lifetime
Open interest
26.2k
Spread
1¢
511 × 196 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%−8

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
Recent buying85% YES · 15% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18915¢
  • ask98314¢
  • ask13313¢
  • ask3612¢
  • ask1,00010¢
  • ask1329¢
  • ask398¢
  • ask1966¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid5115¢
  • bid5,5544¢
  • bid1,0552¢
  • bid2,4091¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jack Barton is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 26 · 3:40 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-JACK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago6¢28bought no
16h ago6¢5bought no
19h ago6¢11bought no
19h ago5¢10bought no
19h ago5¢1bought no
19h ago5¢32bought no
19h ago7¢39bought no
19h ago6¢3bought no
19h ago6¢94bought no
19h ago9¢5bought no
19h ago8¢3.75bought no
19h ago7¢3bought no
22h ago12¢8bought no
22h ago12¢5.89bought no
1d ago14¢1.23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.