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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Jack O'Connell be the next James Bond?

YES means Jack O'Connell

24h volume
61
15.6k lifetime
Open interest
11.9k
Spread
1¢
7,906 × 3,516 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2148¢
  • ask2040¢
  • ask9835¢
  • ask5,86519¢
  • ask1,13318¢
  • ask1,00016¢
  • ask2,12215¢
  • ask3,51611¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid7,90610¢
  • bid898¢
  • bid2857¢
  • bid3886¢
  • bid4565¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid6663¢
  • bid3,0042¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jack O'Connell is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 27 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-JACKO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20h ago10¢11bought no
22h ago10¢50bought no
2d ago10¢1bought no
2d ago10¢1bought no
2d ago11¢214bought yes
2d ago10¢20bought no
2d ago11¢17bought yes
5d ago11¢0.85bought yes
6d ago11¢86bought yes
6d ago10¢11bought no
7d ago11¢8.55bought yes
7d ago11¢213bought yes
7d ago11¢0.79bought yes
8d ago11¢1,000bought yes
8d ago10¢2.32bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.