Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Theo James be the next James Bond?

YES means Theo James

24h volume
52
85.3k lifetime
Open interest
45.0k
+0 over 24h
Spread
64 × 53 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%2

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying77% YES · 23% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 10:32 PMSep 20, 11:51 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask27011¢
  • ask1,08810¢
  • ask1,005
  • ask200
  • ask45
  • ask18
  • ask691
  • ask53
spreadmid
  • bid64
  • bid3,757
  • bid2,566
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Theo James is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 26, 2025 · 5:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXBOND-30-THEO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 77% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago14bought no
4h ago4.22bought no
4h ago34bought no
2d ago375bought yes
2d ago500bought yes
2d ago182bought yes
2d ago211bought yes
2d ago12bought yes
2d ago30bought yes
2d ago3bought yes
2d ago94bought yes
2d ago94bought yes
2d ago19bought yes
4d ago437bought yes
4d ago28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.