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Next Bond actor·closes in 40mo

Will Tom Blyth be the next James Bond?

YES means Tom Blyth

24h volume
0
14.0k lifetime
Open interest
3,354
+3,324 over 90d
Spread
2¢
0 × 43 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 82¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 82¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask31318¢
  • ask717¢
  • ask714¢
  • ask612¢
  • ask69¢
  • ask1,0007¢
  • ask1,5433¢
  • ask432¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Tom Blyth is cast as the next James Bond before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

    This is for the next film in the James Bond series, which goes back to Dr. No (1962); spin-offs and unauthorized productions are not included.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 23 · 4:20 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXBOND-30-TOMB
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    9d ago2¢8bought no
    9d ago2¢30bought no
    9d ago1¢268bought no
    12d ago4¢16bought yes
    12d ago3¢25bought yes
    12d ago3¢25bought yes
    12d ago5¢234bought yes
    12d ago2¢80bought no
    12d ago2¢220bought no
    12d ago2¢25bought no
    13d ago4¢13bought yes
    14d ago4¢384bought yes
    14d ago3¢250bought yes
    18d ago2¢100bought no
    21d ago3¢434bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.