BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 100,000 to 104,999.99

24h volume
1,519
743.2k lifetime
Open interest
337.9k
−384 over 24h
Spread
13 × 5.99 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%1

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 97¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying44% YES · 56% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 4:05 AMSep 21, 3:58 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask95
  • ask69
  • ask45
  • ask32
  • ask25
  • ask7.23
  • ask9.05
  • ask5.99
spreadmid
  • bid13
  • bid299
  • bid37
  • bid62
  • bid293
  • bid225
  • bid95
  • bid3.1
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 100000.00-104999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
100000
cap
104999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B102500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 44% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7m ago0.95bought yes
26m ago2bought yes
27m ago0.94bought yes
27m ago1.06bought yes
27m ago2bought yes
29m ago2bought yes
41m ago2bought yes
1h ago3.06bought yes
1h ago3.06bought no
3h ago3bought yes
3h ago21bought yes
3h ago155bought yes
3h ago22bought yes
3h ago3.27bought yes
3h ago11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.