BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 40,000 to 44,999.99

24h volume
3,909
1.74M lifetime
Open interest
416.6k
−1,652 over 24h
Spread
4 × 17 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%0

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 99¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 3:26 AMSep 21, 3:22 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,703
  • ask550
  • ask3.47
  • ask42
  • ask204
  • ask686
  • ask6.11
  • ask17
spreadmid
  • bid4
  • bid3,009
  • bid12
  • bid188
  • bid12.2k
  • bid5,020
  • bid1,250
  • bid82.5k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 40000.00-44999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
40000
cap
44999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B42500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago2bought yes
44m ago10bought no
44m ago1.51bought no
44m ago5.27bought no
44m ago200bought no
44m ago1.6bought no
44m ago8.59bought no
44m ago24bought no
44m ago39bought no
44m ago3.76bought no
44m ago2.98bought no
44m ago301bought no
44m ago178bought no
44m ago0.87bought no
44m ago0.87bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.