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BTC price range EOY·closes in 3mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 50,000 to 54,999.99

24h volume
3,107
2.38M lifetime
Open interest
364.6k
+98.9k over 30d
Spread
0¢
746 × 0.51 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%−0

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 1¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying8% YES · 92% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1343¢
  • ask6352¢
  • ask5172¢
  • ask1712¢
  • ask2422¢
  • ask2922¢
  • ask482¢
  • ask0.512¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid7461¢
  • bid4,0641¢
  • bid6261¢
  • bid601¢
  • bid571¢
  • bid5,7541¢
  • bid7751¢
  • bid9131¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 50000.00-54999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
50000
cap
54999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B52500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 8% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
17m ago2¢0.95bought yes
37m ago2¢2bought yes
37m ago2¢2bought yes
37m ago2¢1.94bought yes
37m ago2¢0.06bought yes
39m ago2¢2bought yes
51m ago2¢2bought yes
2h ago1¢105bought no
2h ago2¢4.02bought no
2h ago1¢8.98bought no
2h ago1¢75bought no
2h ago1¢8.28bought no
2h ago1¢8.28bought no
2h ago2¢2.89bought no
2h ago2¢0.87bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.