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BTC price range EOY·closes in 2mo

BTC price on Jan 1, 2027?

YES means 70,000 to 74,999.99

24h volume
6,006
2.62M lifetime
Open interest
273.7k
+37.4k over 90d
Spread
0¢
995 × 516 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 14¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%−3

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
24h low 10¢24h high 14¢
Recent buying19% YES · 81% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3811¢
  • ask1211¢
  • ask1511¢
  • ask50111¢
  • ask18311¢
  • ask1711¢
  • ask63511¢
  • ask51611¢
spread0¢mid 11¢
  • bid99511¢
  • bid4.3210¢
  • bid3310¢
  • bid2110¢
  • bid4710¢
  • bid6.229¢
  • bid2669¢
  • bid1999¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 12 AM EST is between 70000.00-74999.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 25 · 11:25 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:05 AM UTC
floor
70000
cap
74999.99
ticker
KXBTCY-27JAN0100-B72500
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 98¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 19% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
12m ago11¢100bought yes
32m ago11¢100bought yes
59m ago11¢100bought yes
2h ago11¢189bought yes
4h ago11¢0.6bought yes
4h ago11¢2.16bought yes
5h ago11¢500bought no
5h ago11¢16bought yes
6h ago11¢75bought no
6h ago11¢10bought yes
6h ago11¢0.01bought yes
7h ago11¢1bought no
7h ago11¢0.25bought yes
7h ago11¢0.01bought yes
7h ago11¢0.91bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.