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Crypto being positive·closes in 3mo

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

YES means Chainlink (LINK)

24h volume
265
71.2k lifetime
Open interest
29.1k
+992 over 7d
Spread
2¢
22 × 1.25 at the touch
24h range
34¢ – 41¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%−1

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 63¢

YES bid / ask
37¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 63¢
24h low 34¢24h high 41¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2852¢
  • ask1851¢
  • ask2950¢
  • ask16049¢
  • ask5348¢
  • ask10347¢
  • ask17140¢
  • ask1.2539¢
spread2¢mid 38¢
  • bid2237¢
  • bid7636¢
  • bid3733¢
  • bid17332¢
  • bid33723¢
  • bid4822¢
  • bid19521¢
  • bid95020¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chainlink has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-LINK
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
41m ago34¢135bought no
41m ago36¢5bought no
41m ago36¢71bought no
41m ago39¢2bought no
42m ago40¢16bought no
42m ago41¢8.75bought no
42m ago41¢9.01bought no
5h ago40¢9bought yes
9h ago40¢7bought yes
18h ago39¢2bought yes
1d ago35¢9.01bought no
2d ago39¢0.02bought yes
2d ago39¢4.85bought yes
2d ago34¢20bought yes
2d ago36¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.