Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
YES means Stellar Lumens (XLM)
- 24h volume
- 63
- 48.5k lifetime
- Open interest
- 13.9k
- +37 over 7d
- Spread
- 5¢
- 7.54 × 20 at the touch
- 24h range
- 33¢ – 44¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 66¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask2,00057¢
- ask14356¢
- ask6152¢
- ask9351¢
- ask6847¢
- ask3746¢
- ask10140¢
- ask2039¢
- bid7.5434¢
- bid3433¢
- bid2932¢
- bid16431¢
- bid3830¢
- bid1,00029¢
- bid5025¢
- bid14524¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Stellar Lumens has a positive return in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Return will be calculated as: (last Price in <period>) minus (first Price in <period>), divided by (first Price in <period>). Price will be calculated by taking a simple average of the real-time CF Benchmarks index price in USD for <cryptocurrency> for the 60 seconds in a given minute, ignoring the top and bottom 20% of values.
- opened
- Jan 6 · 7:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXCRYPTORETURNY-26-XLM
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 85% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 35¢ | 23 | bought no |
| 3h ago | 36¢ | 0.07 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 44¢ | 12 | bought yes |
| 4h ago | 40¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 17h ago | 38¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 19h ago | 34¢ | 6 | bought no |
| 19h ago | 37¢ | 5.17 | bought yes |
| 20h ago | 38¢ | 3.33 | bought yes |
| 21h ago | 38¢ | 0.1 | bought yes |
| 22h ago | 33¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 35¢ | 68 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 35¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 37¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 39¢ | 4.85 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 40¢ | 4.5 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.