Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by June 30, 2028?
YES means Before July 2028
- 24h volume
- 11
- 575 lifetime
- Open interest
- 365
- Spread
- 1¢
- 68 × 1,000 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 8 recent trades
A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 5¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask25299¢
- ask20098¢
- ask1,00096¢
- bid6895¢
- bid2,50094¢
- bid1193¢
- bid30092¢
- bid2,50091¢
- bid50087¢
- bid3,31563¢
- bid60445¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Jun 30, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Sep 16 · 8:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Jul 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Dec 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXFEDHIKE-2-28JUN30
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 8 trades, 7% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22h ago | 94¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 94¢ | 11 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 93¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 92¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 92¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 92¢ | 134 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 95¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 4d ago | 96¢ | 10 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.