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NBA Spread·closes in 2d

Indiana wins by over 11.5 points

24h volume
2,918
2,918 lifetime
Open interest
2,093
Spread
1¢
1,747 × 172 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
Recent buying26% YES · 74% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25015¢
  • ask1014¢
  • ask7413¢
  • ask1,00011¢
  • ask2,05010¢
  • ask1,0159¢
  • ask2507¢
  • ask1722¢
spread1¢mid 2¢
  • bid1,7471¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Indiana wins by more than 11.5 points in the Indiana vs Memphis Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 4 · 12:24 AM UTC
closes
Nov 7 · 1:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 5 · 4:00 AM UTC
floor
11.5
ticker
KXNBASPREAD-26NOV04INDMEM-IND12
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 26% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13m ago7¢96bought yes
13m ago7¢51bought yes
13m ago7¢22bought yes
16m ago3¢0.1bought yes
16m ago2¢1bought no
17m ago3¢1bought no
18m ago7¢1.45bought yes
19m ago7¢0.75bought yes
22m ago4¢1bought no
28m ago5¢100bought no
28m ago6¢61bought no
28m ago5¢1bought no
29m ago5¢0.13bought no
29m ago5¢97bought no
29m ago2¢1bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.